Model Performance

Track prediction accuracy and model metrics over time

Last 30 Days
Live Tracking
Total Games
42
Accuracy
Calculating...
Correct
--
Incorrect
--
Win Rate
--
ROI
Coming Soon
Model Specifications
Algorithm
Logistic Regression
Test Accuracy
69.4%
AUC Score
0.737
Training Size
1,237 games
Features
77
Brier Score
0.207
Feature Engineering (77 Features)

The model leverages advanced NBA analytics with time-series cross-validation:

Four Factors

eFG%, TS%, TOV%, OREB%, DREB%, FT Rate

Efficiency Metrics

ORtg, DRtg, Net Rating, Pace

Pythagorean Model

Expected wins, luck factor

Player Features

Star PPG, rotation stability, +/-

Recent Form

Last 10 games rolling averages

ELO Ratings

Dynamic team strength ratings

Advanced Analytics Coming Soon

Historical performance charts, ROI tracking, bet sizing optimization, and detailed model diagnostics are in development.

ROI Charts
Win Rate Breakdown
Calibration
Bet History